Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 12.765582 14.368040 16.143025 18.263662 20.739685 23.552944 27.010678
2025-10-19 10.356578 12.360753 14.750048 17.837972 21.766209 26.655335 33.294242
2025-10-26 9.341015 11.614520 14.469473 18.375678 23.672905 30.743669 41.135880
2025-11-02 8.329651 10.681937 13.755113 18.150252 24.420383 33.278492 47.185692
2025-11-09 7.517933 9.889753 13.092094 17.846335 24.930291 35.447535 52.964662
2025-11-16 6.892771 9.271250 12.576777 17.650248 25.512937 37.731404 59.243048
2025-11-23 6.295854 8.628294 11.950124 17.195952 25.607717 39.215537 64.397218
2025-11-30 5.879745 8.203424 11.591494 17.091989 26.212620 41.570284 71.464849
2025-12-07 5.371569 7.599841 10.909298 16.401181 25.755083 42.025625 75.046615
2025-12-14 4.886107 6.994442 10.174769 15.551339 24.921388 41.684364 76.972975
2025-12-21 4.568651 6.622886 9.773962 15.209750 24.924285 42.852797 82.179294
2025-12-28 4.676456 6.915823 10.443784 16.730616 28.435407 51.175569 104.633514
2026-01-04 4.546559 6.831612 10.509422 17.238147 30.193920 56.467752 121.999893
2026-01-11 4.249968 6.457792 10.065375 16.790445 30.055867 57.811291 130.147527
2026-01-18 4.146160 6.392813 10.137304 17.292705 31.869886 63.686538 151.783961
2026-01-25 3.934210 6.131737 9.848465 17.083346 32.185292 66.228226 165.040289
2026-02-01 3.729183 5.869408 9.537968 16.801333 32.307898 68.334438 177.700953
2026-02-08 3.555844 5.651077 9.290502 16.619325 32.624086 70.967588 192.892062
2026-02-15 3.361780 5.385477 8.939399 16.197512 32.351190 72.069004 203.491580
2026-02-22 3.226954 5.216855 8.755613 16.100955 32.812411 75.170693 222.131238
2026-03-01 3.029472 4.926251 8.326692 15.459100 31.919259 74.479041 226.854186
2026-03-08 2.825817 4.615484 7.843618 14.668841 30.593247 72.404428 225.809995
2026-03-15 2.694741 4.430522 7.590213 14.350998 30.386697 73.480090 237.631954